Wednesday, March 14, 2012 - 11:54 AM

Leading lawmakers on both sides kicked off the coming debate over the Obama administration's plans to speed the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, a partisan fight over how to extract the U.S. from its longest war with a measure of honor and success.
The New York Times reported Tuesday that the Obama administration is debating multiple new troop drawdown plans that would govern the removal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan after the withdrawal of the surge forces is completed this September. According to the report, National Security Advisor Tom Donilon is supporting a plan that would remove another 10,000 troops by the end of 2012 and an additional 20,000 troops by June of next year.
Vice President Joe Biden is said to support a plan for an even more precipitous withdrawal. Gen. John Allen, commander of coalition forces in Afghanistan, reportedly supports keeping more troops there longer than either Donilon or Biden would like.
A number of leading Republican senators told The Cable that they oppose the new, faster Afghanistan troop withdrawal plans under discussion in the Times report, which they see as a trial balloon floated by the White House to frame the coming discussion.
"I hope it's a balloon that busts," said Sen. Lindsey Graham.
Graham laid out the basic argument against the speedier withdrawal: that it is opposed by leading U.S. military officials, is based on the White House's political considerations, and risks sacrificing hard-fought security gains.
"The problem with this administration is that every time the generals give them good advice, they've got to change it," said Graham. "Why is General Allen wrong? If I gotta pick between Joe Biden and General Allen, I'm picking General Allen.... The last thing we want is a bunch of politicians who have been wrong about everything controlling the war."
He also acknowledged that not all Republicans agree with him and even the GOP presidential candidates are becoming skittish on keeping the military committed in Afghanistan. Newt Gingrich said this week that the mission there might not be "doable."
"On the Republican side, we've had one or two folks talking about changing General Allen's withdrawal plan. They don't know what they're talking about. It would be a nightmare for this country for Afghanistan to go poorly," said Graham. "I hope the Republican nominee for president will say something very simple. ‘I know we're war weary. We're going to withdraw. We're going to transition. But we're going to do it based on what the general says.'"
Allen is coming to Washington next week and will testify on Capitol Hill. Senate Armed Services Committee ranking Republican John McCain (R-AZ) told The Cable in an interview that Republicans will press Allen to admit the dangers of speeding up the withdrawal plan.
"I'll ask ‘is the risk greater' and he'll say ‘the risk is greater because of these decisions,'" McCain predicted. The Arizona senator described the new, speedier withdrawal option as the administration "continuing the president's stated withdrawals over the objections of his military advisors who he has appointed, sending the message to the region that we are leaving and you have to make accommodations for us not being in the neighborhood, which is a strategy for failure."
Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin (D-MI) wholly supports the administration removing more troops from Afghanistan at a steady pace, although he acknowledges that some generals disagree.
"After the 30,000 troops are removed by the end of September, the president said a couple months ago that there will be further reductions continuing at a ‘steady pace.' I favored that very much. A number of top uniformed leaders did not," said Levin.
He said the uniformed leadership favored halting the withdrawal of U.S. troops after the 30,000 surge troops leave. That would leave the number of U.S. troops at about 68,000 until as late as 2014, when they would then reduce steeply.
"I have felt the president's ‘steady pace' approach was the right approach. We ought to continue that approach. That was right in terms of success of the mission," said Levin.
He also said that the recent incidents in Afghanistan, including the accidental burning of Qurans and last weekend's alleged murder of 16 Afghan civilians, reinforce the need to continue withdrawing, an argument the president himself made this week.
The White House seems determined to continue the pace of withdrawals into next year despite the criticism coming from Republicans. GOP leaders want the administration to know they will be bringing up Obama's Afghanistan withdrawal plans early and often throughout this election season.
"If you start bleeding [General Allen], you leave everybody left behind in a force protection nightmare and our ability to withdraw with honor and security will be forfeited," said Graham. "And when it goes bad, [the White House] will be reminded of who created it. I promise you that."
UPDATE: National Security Council Spokesman Tommy Vietor denied the Times report. Here's his statement to The Cable:
The White House is not currently reviewing options for further troop withdrawals and no decisions have been made. As the President has said, we will bring home a total of 33,000 troops by next summer. After that initial reduction, our troops will continue coming home at a steady pace as Afghan security forces move into the lead.
The President will make decisions on further drawdowns at the appropriate time, based on our interests and in consultation with our Allies and Afghan partners. We look forward to meeting in Chicago with NATO leaders to define the next phase of transition.
There are no options, and Tom Donilon isn't pushing any specific option or policy proposal.
Alex Wong/Getty Images
EXPLORE:FLASH POINTS, AFGHANISTAN, DIPLOMACY, MILITARY, OBAMA ADMINISTRATION, STATE DEPARTMENT, U.S. CONGRESS, U.S. FOREIGN POLICY
For Afghan debacle, US needs to thank Pakistan with more aid
All the long term plans about US presence in Afghanistan after troop withdrawal in 2014 are susceptible to vagaries of such incidents as Koran burning killing of Afghan civilians by a US soldier.
Clearly US is itching to get out and such incidents are hastening the day of departure.
The whole reason why Afghan war is still continuing, is Pakistani State’s support and shelter of Taliban insurgency that Dr. Gresh intentionally refuses to acknowledge.
Former Pentagon official Gen (rtd) Jack Keane said at a discussion on Afghanistan organized by the Institute for the Study of War, a Washington-based think-tank on June 30, 2011: "The truth is, the (Pakistani) ISI aids and abets the sanctuaries in Pakistan that the Afghan (Taliban) operate out of. They provide training for them, they provide resources for them and they provide intelligence for them. From those sanctuaries, every single day Afghan fighters come into Afghanistan and kill and maim us (US/NATO troops)". General Keane also added that “There are two ammonium nitrate factories in Pakistan. 80 per cent of the explosive devices that are used to kill our soldiers, kill Afghan security forces and kill Afghan people come from Pakistan."
Previous US ambassador Anne Patterson to Pakistan, wrote in a secret review in 2009 that ‘Pakistan's Army and ISI are covertly SPONSORING four militant groups - Haqqani‘s HQN, Mullah Omar‘s QST, Al Qaeda and LeT - and will not abandon them for any amount of US money‘, diplomatic cables released by WikiLeaks show.
Ambassador Patterson had NO reason to mislead her own State Department and U. S. government.
Adm Mullen told the foreign news media on 1/13/2011 about America’s primary ally in America’s fight against terrorism, that: “I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, it [Pakistan] is the epicenter of terrorism in the world right now. It is absolutely critical that the safe havens in Pakistan get shut down. We cannot succeed in Afghanistan without that. It’s not just Haqqani Network anymore, or Al Qaeda or TTP (Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan), the Afghan Taliban, or LeT (Lashkar-e-Tayyeba), it’s all of them working together.”
As long as US continues to allow Pakistan playing this double game of ‘running with the terrorist hares while hunting with the American hounds‘, US/NATO deserve to be duped by Pakistan for ignoring Pakistani State’s terrorist connections.
Marty Martel wrote:
"The whole reason why Afghan war is still continuing, is Pakistani State’s support and shelter of Taliban insurgency...."
[And]
"As long as US continues to allow Pakistan playing this double game...."
The validity of the first observations is what makes the sensibility of the second assertion so funny.
Pakistan's support of the Taliban is indeed a major reason why the Afghan war is continuing, but ... so what?
We didn't invade Afghanistan to take out the Taliban; we invaded when the Taliban refused to hand over bin Laden and stop hosting al Queda. And it was only *then,* after we had gone in that suddenly the mission changed; now we made it our goal to displace the Taliban.
So who is playing a double game?
The *only* reason the U.S. had to get crosswise with the Taliban was indeed its protection of al Queda, and thus we had the right to whack the Taliban back so as to not interfere with our whacking al Queda.
Once we did that however we should have just withdrawn and said to Afghanistan that we don't care who is in charge but if you harbor terrorists against us again we'll be back, period. And Pakistan was already friendly to us then and hadn't harbored al Queda in attacking us.
So we went in and then ... we stayed, for some reason continuing to wage war with the Taliban, and with it then being *us* that thereby destabilized Pakistan and made it far more unfriendly to us as well as a safer harbor for *both* al Queda and the Taliban.
But now *we* go blaming Pakistan?
This is incoherence on stilts.
So, if the White House said this, "There are no options, and Tom Donilon isn't pushing any specific option or policy proposal," then they have told us at least two things: 1) don't confuse us with the facts because our minds are made up; and, 2) Donilon isn't pushing any particular plan because the decision has already been made and is cast in concrete.
The last group to successfully conquer Afghanistan was the Arab Islamist Army, and that took nearly 400 years! Their invasion started in 670, finally took Kabul in 870, and didn't pacify the countryside until some time in the middle of the 11th century. And we think we can do it faster/better because?
Those excellent uniformed American advisers
These are the people who, ordered to step up training of a new and excellent Afghan army, simply didn't do it as they should have. Deploying his decades of administrative cunning, defense secretary Gates made Europe the place where he told the world that the US component of ISAF was thousands short in its needed deployment of trainers -- so, presumably as he wished it, virtually nobody in the United States knew about it and cared. Deploying THEIR decades of administrative cunning, the Kabul military elite presented a small group, perhaps only a platoon, of Afghans happy to marxch in sparkling order for any visiting dignitary or journalist -- and claimed this atypical small group was instead a sample of imaginary widespread achievement..
We don't know and Lindsey Graham doesn't seem to care about the cuttent balance of war aims and investments in Afghanistan. How much energy goes into raiding possible Taliban sites? How much into the training that will let America do what the habitually ill-informed George Bush named as standing down? The Republican interest seems only in numbers of boots on the ground, rather than how their wearers serve.
I must with regret disagree with SIN NOMBRE's "We didn't invade Afghanistan to take out the Taliban; we invaded when the Taliban refused to hand over bin Laden and stop hosting al Queda. And it was only *then,* after we had gone in that suddenly the mission changed; now we made it our goal to displace the Taliban."
George Bush told a joint session on Congress in September 2001 that the US was about to go in after al-Qaida and also against any nation harboring them. By nation harboring them, he clearly meant, in the Afghan context, the Taliban. Explaining their evil, he said life there was hell for barbers -- men were unable to lose their beards -- and they ënvy our freedom of association, perhaps the goofiest reason to go to some foreign nation and kill lots of foreigners to escape human lips. We know HOW it was that the US military in Afghanistan gave al-Qaida there as swift and easy escape from Tora Bora some few weeks after the invasion. I've seen no explanation yet of why -- or evidence that any military officer was punished for allowing that major military failure.
It's also significant that the Taliban, within a few hours of 9/11, made repeated public offers to capture the al-Qaida people within Afghan borders and bring them to justice. I've never seen any reason to think that this offer was insincere. What it was, apparently to great American loss, was ignored in Washington. But that seems to have been a civilian failure, rather than a military one. Nobody punished there, too.
I think what it comes down to is that when the president says: "We need to go to war with X", the members of congress are too afraid of looking weak to go against him..
"Is rio orange war always forfait illimite inevitable ?"
MaximB
(5)
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