The two heads of the Senate Armed Services Committee told The Cable today that even they have no idea how much the debt ceiling deal will cut from national defense, because the specifics of the cuts are still unknown.

Depending on which reports you read today, the bill to raise the debt ceiling and cut at least $2.1 trillion from the budget over the next decade, is either a huge win for the Pentagon or a dangerous cut to the military budget that will "sap American military might worldwide." The Cable reported yesterday that the White House's assertion that the bill puts the nation on track to save $350 billion in defense spending over 10 years was just a guess, considering that the bill doesn't say anything about "defense" cuts. The bill only sets caps on "security" spending, which includes Defense, State, USAID, intelligence, the Department of Homeland Security, the National Nuclear Security Administration, and the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs.

Today, Sens. Carl Levin (D-MI) and John McCain (R-AZ) both told The Cable that the actual effect of the debt deal on the Pentagon will be determined by budget and appropriations lawmakers in both chambers after Congress returns from its one-month summer recess.

"I don't know where the White House gets the $350 billion number from," said Levin, confirming that the deal only sets caps for the "security" budget and then only for the first two years. Levin said he does expect "significant" cuts to the military budget, but that he has to wait for allocations to come from Senate budget leaders to determine how much the Pentagon will get in fiscal 2012.

When Levin gets that figure, he will then have to rewrite the fiscal 2012 defense authorization bill to adjust for the new allocations. He is also waiting for the appropriators to weigh in, he said. And while there's little chance the Senate will actually pass an appropriations bill before the fiscal year ends on Sept. 30, it will nevertheless be lawmakers who decide exactly what gets cut and by how much.

"There will be a negative and deep effect on the military if the cuts happen," Levin said, but added that the amount of defense cuts is currently "unknown."

If the new joint committee established to agree on an additional $1.2 trillion of cuts fails to come to terms, the bill mandates that $600 billion in cuts come directly from the "defense" account. But that's a fight for another day, Levin said.

When asked how much the debt deal cuts the Pentagon budget, McCain said, "I'm not sure."

"There are some reductions but it's my understanding they were spread out over a number of accounts," he said.

Multiple Hill sources told The Cable that it was House Armed Services Committee chairman Buck McKeon (R-CA) who led the push for the cuts to be spread over several "security" accounts, rather than focusing them solely on defense. McKeon convened a meeting of disgruntled committee members Monday morning, and then met with House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) on Monday afternoon to urge lawmakers to protect the defense budget.

By spreading the initial cuts over security agencies, defense hawks hope to minimize the impact of any cuts on the Pentagon. Ironically, their strategy hinges on embracing the concept what heretofore has been the Obama administration's definition of "security," which includes diplomacy, intelligence, veterans affairs, homeland security, and foreign aid. Republicans have traditionally defined "security" as only defense, intelligence, and the Department of Homeland Security.

An administration official told The Cable on Monday that the administration calculates that the bill will save $420 billion over 10 years in overall security spending, with $350 billion of that coming from defense and the rest spread out over other agencies. But the administration official admitted those specifics are not in the bill.

That $420 billion is a replacement for the $400 billion in security spending cuts that Obama called for only a couple of months ago, so military spending expectations in the defense industry probably won't change much. But there are no details on that plan either, so it's impossible to know what the effects will be.

Winslow Wheeler, head of the Strauss Military Reform Project at the Center for Defense Information, said that the whole notion of the cuts is misleading anyway, because the numbers are being compared projections that were inaccurate in the first place.

"There will be reductions ... but the actual figure is also masked by the fact that the debt deal is compared to a ten year CBO ‘baseline,' which is [the fiscal] 2011 spending levels adjusted according to arcane rules and inflated by a highly unreliable projection of long term future inflation," he said.

"The debt deal kicks the defense budget can down the road for this and future Congresses. People should not read precision and certainty into a political deal specifically designed to be uncertain and indistinct."

Getty Images

 

BEINGTHERE

7:32 PM ET

August 3, 2011

Cuts Decades Overdue: Corruption, Greed, Arrogance Have Ruled

If U.S. taxpayers are supposed to be upset about Pentagon cuts, forget it.

$34 BILLION have been misspent by the Pentagon in Afghanistan and Iraq on contractor fees, according to a recent Wall Street Journal article. This is the tip of the iceberg. It's also:
* Military personnel, especially generals and other higher-ups, who have lived high on the hog for years (wars or not)
* The Fog of Two U.S.-sponsored wars - A cool trillion spent spent, hundreds of thousands of NATO and civilian lives lost
* US. servicemen raped by "comrades" in war zones. Class action suit pending against safely retired Bob Gates and Don Rumseld
* The laboratory for the creation of an arrogant, self-serving David Petraeus, who has benefited from the headlines of bloodshed.
* John McCain, Graham, Chambliss and other old, white "patriots"

The U.S. needs security to protect our interests in foreign lands, but we need a Pentagon run by ethical men and women - for a change.

 

WINSTON SMITH 9584

10:49 PM ET

August 3, 2011

We cannot afford the military, cut the "defense" budget.

Our military, its globe-spanning empire of bases and addiction to endless, costly and unconstitutional war must end...we cannot afford to spend $700 billion + on the military and the bloated 'security state'.
Where are our priorities? We're slashing spending on programs providing vital, indispensable health services for the disabled, the many who are in poverty, children and elderly like Medicaid as hundreds of billions are wasted on militarism and war. This must stop. We can be an empire or democracy, not both.

Our nation must once again listen to the warnings of our founders and avoid deadly, costly "foreign entanglements". We must stop the Pentagon's costly addiction to endless warfare...the sad fact is; our nation's military is betraying our values and principles in far off lands as it causes the deaths of so many Afghan civilians.
We should start removing our soldiers from Afghanistan because when we cannot afford to spend $10 billion plus a month while we have so many needs at home and our vital social safety net is frayed under our increasing national debt...we must heed history's lessons and understand that brutal militarism abroad will only cause our values to be betrayed and our democratic principles at home are sacrificed at the alter of war.

James Madison, the 'author' of our Constitution observed in the founding years of the American democracy that: "Of all the enemies to public liberty war is, perhaps, the most to be dreaded, because it comprises and develops the germ of every other. War is the parent of armies; from these proceed debts and taxes; and armies, and debts, and taxes are the known instruments for bringing the many under the domination of the few. In war, too, the discretionary power of the Executive is extended; its influence in dealing out offices, honors, and emoluments is multiplied; and all the means of seducing the minds, are added to those of subduing the force, of the people....No nation could preserve its freedom in the midst of continual warfare."

 

TARHEELCHIEF

3:12 PM ET

August 5, 2011

Base Closing Commission

During difficult debates it becomes clear,nothing will be done.
Thus, the creation of the base closing commission set up a mechanism to placate all parties. This occurs in business with bankruptcy proceedings.Scarce cash creates innovative solutions.
The triggers will work,if only because Congress closed off the option of medical reforms which drive almost half the debt load.Defense cuts are low hanging fruits,for the pension system remains intact,and cuts to manpower have been replaced by politically sensitive National Guard reserves.

 

John Hudson reports on national security and foreign policy from the Pentagon to Foggy Bottom, the White House to Embassy Row, for The Cable.

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