Thursday, February 24, 2011 - 5:59 PM
A host of top U.S. military officials held a secret day-long meeting with Pakistan's top military officers on Tuesday in Oman to plot a course out of the diplomatic crisis that threatens the U.S.-Pakistan relationship.
The United States was represented by Adm. Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. David Petraeus, commander of International Security Assistance Force (ISAF), Adm. Eric Olson, commander of U.S. Special Operations Command, and Marine Corps Gen. James Mattis, commander of U.S. Central Command, Stars and Stripes reported. The Pakistani delegation included Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, Pakistan's chief of army staff, and Maj. Gen. Javed Iqbal, director general of military operations.
The meeting was planned long ago and covered various aspects of the U.S.-Pakistani relationship, but a large portion was dedicated to the diplomatic crisis surrounding Raymond Davis, the CIA contractor who was arrested in Lahore, Pakistan, last month after fatally shooting two armed Pakistani men.
"Where do you go to think seriously and bring sanity to a maddening situation? Far from the madding crowd to a peaceful Omani luxury resort of course. So that's what the military leadership of the US and Pakistan did," wrote Gen. Jehangir Karamat in a read out of the meeting obtained by The Cable and confirmed by a senior Pakistani official. Karamat is a former chief of Pakistan's army, and also served as Pakistan's ambassador to the United States from 2002 to 2004.
"The US had to point out that once beyond a tipping point the situation would be taken over by political forces that could not be controlled," Karamat wrote about the meeting, referring to the reported split between the CIA and the Pakistani Inter-services Intelligence (ISI) that erupted following the Davis shooting.
In Oman U.S. officials implored the Pakistani military to step up its involvement in the Davis case, following the Pakistani government's decision to pass the buck to the judicial system on adjudicating Davis' claim of diplomatic immunity. However, their concerns also went beyond this most recent diplomatic spat.
"[T]he US did not want the US-Pakistan relationship to go into a free fall under media and domestic pressures," Karamat wrote. "These considerations drove it to ask the [Pakistani] Generals to step in and do what the governments were failing to do-especially because the US military was at a critical stage in Afghanistan and Pakistan was the key to control and resolution."
"The militaries will now brief and guide their civilian masters and hopefully bring about a qualitative change in the US-Pakistan Relationship by arresting the downhill descent and moving it in the right direction."
A senior Pakistani official confirmed the accuracy of Karamat's analysis to The Cable. The official said that the Davis incident would hopefully now be put on a path toward resolution following a feeding frenzy in the Pakistani media, which has reported on rumors of an extensive network of CIA contract spies operating outside of the Pakistani government's or the ISI's knowledge.
"The idea is to find a solution whereby the Davis incident does not hijack the U.S.-Pakistan relationship," the official said. The most probable outcome, the official explained, is that Davis would be turned over to the United States, following a promise from the U.S. government to investigate the incident.
The United States would also compensate the families of the two Pakistani men killed by Davis, and a third man who died after two other U.S. embassy personnel ran him over while racing to the scene of the shooting. Negotiations between U.S. officials and the family members are already underway, the official said.
Shuja Nawaz, director of the South Asia Center at the Atlantic Council, said that it was the responsibility of the Pakistani Foreign Ministry, led until recently by Shah Mahmood Qureshi, to resolve the Davis case. Qureshi was removed as Foreign Minister after reportedly refusing to go along with the government's plan to grant Davis immunity.
"It's really the Foreign Ministry's responsibility," said Nawaz, "But in the absence of action by the civilian government, if the military can help persuade them to resolve this matter and find the way, that's all for the better."
But once the Davis case is resolved, there's still much work to be done in repairing the relationship between the CIA and the ISI. The ISI is widely suspected of airing its anger with the CIA in both the Pakistani and U.S. media. The latest example was Wednesday's Associated Press story that featured a never-before released ISI "statement" that said the Davis case was putting the entire ISI-CIA relationship in jeopardy.
The CIA and the ISI are talking, the Pakistani official said, but the path toward reconciliation will be a long one.
"It's a spy game being played out in the media and the CIA has told the ISI to cut it out," the official said. "The relationship remains testy. But after the meeting between Mullen and Kayani the likelihood of some resolution has increased."
Inside the Pakistani government, the Davis case has exacerbated internal tensions between the civilian government, led by President Asif Ali Zardari, and the ISI. Pakistani news agencies have been reporting that the Pakistani embassy in Washington has approved hundreds of visas for American officials without proper vetting, increasing the ease with which covert CIA operatives could enter the country.
Pakistan's Ambassador to Washington Husain Haqqani has denied that any visas had been issued from his embassy without proper authorization. An analysis of Pakistani visas granted to U.S. government employees, conducted by the Pakistani government, shows there has been no significant increase in the number of visas issued since 2007.
Regardless, the gentlemen's agreement between the ISI and the CIA that the two organizations would keep each other informed on each other's actions in Pakistan has now broken down.
"It's a vicious circle. Davis was in Pakistan because Pakistan can't be trusted. But Davis getting caught has increased the mistrust," the Pakistani official said. "Their interests are no longer congruent. Eventually the ISI and the CIA will have to work out new rules of engagement."
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"A senior Pakistani official confirmed the accuracy of Karamat's analysis to The Cable."
the above statement makes no sense. An analysis is based on one's thoughts and perceptions about an event. The element of accuracy, therefore, is relative.
On the comment about the issue being on its way to being resolved because of military involvement: it's not the first time this has been said over the past month. The fact that the courts have been involved and the episode has been played in front of media would make it very difficult for the issue to be extricated without generating more controversy.
Secondly, the rhetoric on both sides has led to a total lack of trust. How this plays put in the Afghanistan is yet to be seen.
Thirdly, this episode is putting focus on contractors and their usage. The message being sent out from Langley and State is that there is no room for error.
....for Pakistani leadership to unite. IE for PakMil and PakGov to speak with one voice and show real leadership, to their people, to the world. Surely its not so difficult for Kayani, Gilani, Zardari, even Sharif to be at the same podium and state that there is a bigger thing going on--the battle with the Taliban (even if its just the 'bad' Taliban/TTP), in which the US is an ally and they need to work together. Pakistani leadership comprises of very clever individuals but, collectively they need to grow a few inches taller. That can't be a bad thing in the eyes of your own people first and the the world at large, second.
The internal divisiveness is a drag on Pakistan's own growth, security and development.
As for Davis, the US may have been sloppy about his paperwork but surely, given his diplomatic passport, their intention was that he was there as a diplomat. Also i can't imagine that he would have pulled the trigger if he didn't think his life was in real danger. He's an experienced guy after all.
Pakistan-USA: friends or foes?
Top-secret CIA documents show that Raymond Allen Davis (born 02 Oct 1974) was providing nuclear fissile material and biological agents to groups of terrorists, killers and bombers hired by the USA government officials as part of the 915 year old Christian crusade, or the NWO-PNAC mission to destabilise and disarm Pakistan. Davis was employed by the American under cover agencies, but this information is still withheld on the gag orders of American politicians and NWO-PNAC fans. The documents show Davis had links with the terrorists, working on the CIA’s plan to sabotage, destabilise and disarm Pakistan. Davis also worked for American Task Force 373 (TF373), Blackwater XE, DynaCorp and other under cover American agencies still operating in Pakistan. TF373 (Delta Force) is assigned to hire locals (Orange Force) to plant bombs in Pakistan, destabilise and leave the country without adequate defense. This is an uncompromising national security issue in Pakistan.
Davis killed two men in Lahore on 27 Jan 2011. Eyewitnesses and police probes prove that the two murders were not in self defence. Even the alleged self defence does not mean licence to kill. Moreover, Davis never applied for and nor was he ever approved (by the Pakistan government) as having diplomatic immunity. Besides, according to a letter dated 20 Jan 2011 from the USA embassy in Islamabad, asked Pakistan foreign ministry to grant or extend Davis’ non-diplomatic business visa. So, Davis, who was on business visit visa, does not have diplomatic immunity from criminal prosecution in Pakistan. However, undue pressure (blackmails) by the US senator John Kerry (chairman of senate committee for foreign affairs and an ex-president candidate) has ‘convinced’ Pakistan government officials and politicians to provide forged diplomatic immunity documents to the courts in the country.
American politicians don’t want Davis to face the music for his crimes in Pakistan.
American politicians want Davis to evade justice because the court trial in Pakistan would open Pandora’s Box and set a precedent for future prosecutions. The trials would expose other American misdeeds in Pakistan and elsewhere. Pakistan courts have the right to rule on the criminal case without any fear or favour, blackmails, threats, economic sanctions and political pressures. Allowing Davis to evade justice and get away with the murders would lead to a revolution or uprising in Pakistan. The courts would become laughing stock if they don’t detect the forgeries or if they cave in.
Davis must be released only after his trials and conviction and only when American politicians:
a) close down all covert operations in Pakistan;
b) stop illegal drone attacks forever; and
c) write off $60 billion debts, etc.
In order to avert popular uprising and reduce terrorism, Pakistan must expel all American members of Delta Force (CIA-Pentagon, XE-Blackwater, Dynacorp etc) from the country immediately, prosecute and convict their hired Orange Force mercenaries (local paid bombers and killers); Seal Afghan-Pak border; stop the NWO American-NATO-PNAC terror supply line between Pakistan and Afghanistan…
Would that help stop false flags, and bring down or undo the PNAC’s American empire, without a long trillion dollar war, lies and war crimes?
In the final analysis, is it time to review deeply flawed American foreign policies to win billions of hearts and minds? After all, with friends like that, who needs foes? http://www.fas.org/irp/agency/dod/dsb/commun.pdf
Tyneham, the most comforting thing i read is that the CIA has a "plan to sabotage, destabilise and disarm Pakistan."
Pakistan is in dire need of being saved from itself and, yes, in the process be de-nuked. The region would be far better aligned and balanced with a Pashtunistan and a Baluchistan. In other words peace would come only with the pieces of Pakistan. That seems also to be the deep driving desire of Pakistan, else it would've sorted itself out while the rest of Asia has been moving ahead.
As for your suggestion of the write-off of debt, good try but also a good example of Paks shamelessness constantly wandering around with a begging bowl. Get yourself some self respect and then see what respect you can earn from the world.
Pakistani Army has turned U. S. into a pitiful giant
This attempt to patch up US-Pakistan spat over Raymond Davis via a secret military-to-military meeting proves beyond a doubt as to who US government really thinks has power to move things in Pakistan. US definitely believes that General Kayani can get Pakistani government to do the US bidding in tempting down the tensions over this Davis affair.
So much for this façade of democratic Pakistan that the world has come to accept as being genuine.
However the real problem this cat and mouse game between US and Pakistan will not be resolved unless the Pakistani Army cuts its umbilical cord to terrorists who have mounted successful Afghan Taliban insurgency.
But previous US ambassador Anne Patterson of Pakistan wrote in a secret review in 2009 that ‘Pakistan's Army and ISI are covertly sponsoring four militant groups - Haqqani‘s HQN, Mullah Omar‘s QST, Al Qaeda and LeT - and will not abandon them for any amount of US money, diplomatic cables released by WikiLeaks show.
And Adm Mullen had following to say about America’s primary ally in its fight against terrorism to the foreign news media on 1/13/2011: “I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again it, [Pakistan] is the epicenter of terrorism in the world right now. It is absolutely critical that the safe havens in Pakistan get shut down. We cannot succeed in Afghanistan without that. It’s not just Haqqani Network anymore, or Al Qaeda or TTP (Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan), the Afghan Taliban, or LET (Lashkar-e-Tayyeba), it’s all of them working together.”
So this secret meeting borne out of diplomatic necessity also points to how US hands are tied in a knot by Pakistani Army and ISI. U. S. is forced to mollycoddle Pakistan’s duplicity with billions of dollars in aid - on the one hand it allows US to ferry supplies to US troops in Afghanistan over its soil since it pays billions to Pakistan and on the other hand it shelters, nurtures and supports the very groups who kill those very US troops in Afghanistan day in and day out.
Pakistani Army and ISI have indeed turned Uncle Sam including Adm Mullen and General Petraeus into pitiful giants.
Josh Rogin reports on national security and foreign policy from the Pentagon to Foggy Bottom, the White House to Embassy Row, for The Cable.
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