Wednesday, December 1, 2010 - 5:21 PM
The GOP leader on the New START treaty with Russia, Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ), linked the administration's drive to ratify the treaty this month to the extension of the George W. Bush-era tax cuts for the wealthy today. The connection between these two issues threatens to pit the White House's domestic political priorities against its foreign policy agenda.
"If the taxes all can't be resolved and voted on and completed and spending for the government for the next 10 months completed by, like, next Monday, I don't know how there's enough time to complete START," Kyl said, according to The Hill.
Kyl's statement could be taken two ways. On the one hand, he's now admitting there could be time to debate and vote on the treaty during the lame duck session, which would represent a change from his previous position. On the other hand, he's clearly saying that without a deal on the tax cuts that the GOP can live with, there will be no agreement to bring up New START.
But Kyl's remarks could also simply be taken at face value. If the fight over the tax cuts drags on, there just might not be enough days in the calendar to fully vet the treaty before the Christmas break. But White House spokesman Robert Gibbs promised today that the vote on New START would happen by then.
Administration officials seem confused by Kyl's oscillations. In private, they feel the negotiations are going well and are scrambling to answer every outstanding question posed by him and other Republican senators. But public statements such as this -- and letters like the one he wrote to Obama on Monday -are perceived by the administration as shots across their bow.
The administration has already put together a package worth over $85 billion over ten years to respond to Kyl's demands for increases in funding for nuclear modernization. Extending all the Bush tax cuts over that period, even after subtracting the tax cuts for lower- and middle-class Americans that Democrats also want to extend, is estimated to add $700 billion to the debt.
The question is: How badly does the White House want to fulfill its pledge to meet the Christmas deadline to pass New START, and will the White House's full court press on the issue be enough to get the GOP to strike a deal?
President Barack Obama invited former Secretary of State Colin Powell to the White House today, and both men spoke to the press about the need to ratify New START as a matter of national security.
"I fully support this treaty and I fully hope the Senate will give its advice and consent to this treaty as soon as possible," said Powell.
If Obama administration officials are genuinely confused by Sen. Kyl, President Obama needs to get himself some new administration officials.
John Kyl knows that his fellow Arizona Senator, John McCain, got a serious primary challenge last year from a sleazy Tea Party type even though McCain has been nothing but a loyal Bush Republican for years. Kyl's problem with the START treaty isn't about the treaty, or about missile defense, or nuclear weapons modernization. It's about not making himself a target.
There are plenty of Republicans, in Congress and elsewhere, who know enough and care enough about public policy for their opinions to command respect. It isn't just Kyl; Lugar, Voinovich, Cochran, Alexander have all made serious contributions to government in the course of long careers in public service. The GOP campaign apparatus is running the party now, though. It knows what it wants -- tax cuts for the people who give it money (in the case of the Republican campaign auxiliaries like Sean Hannity and the other radio clowns, they also want tax cuts for themselves personally).
Kyl is just one of many Republican officeholders who is terrified of these people. He won't cross them even if the Obama administration gives him everything he asks for on issues directly related to START, plus ten per cent. He will try to preserve some of his dignity in public by claiming that it's all a matter of timing. It isn't.
Kyl will support ratification of the treaty with Russia when he thinks he can without exposing himself to Obama haters in Arizona, the radio clowns, or anti-everything Republican colleagues like DeMint. This is not such a big damn mystery that the people on Obama's team, so many of whom come to government from the campaign world, have any excuse to be confused about someone like Kyl now.
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